Major bowl games such as the New Year’s Six usually attract the most attention, but they won’t take up the majority of the 2022-23 college football bowl schedule. There are 43 bowl games this year, so most aren’t as high-profile as the ones we’re used to enjoying around New Year’s Day. So getting some help filling out your college football bowl confidence pool will be very beneficial, because even the most diligent college football fan can’t know everything about every team.
Bowl season begins Dec. 16 with day one seeing No. 24 Troy take on No. 25 UTSA in the Cure Bowl. Surprisingly, this is just one of three bowl games before NY6 featuring two ranked teams. Which of these five-man programs should you back with your bowl pick vs. college football pick? Before making any college football predictions for bowl season, don’t miss the Bowl Confidence Pool selection from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, proprietary computer models have generated a staggering profit of nearly $2,500 for a $100 player in his top college football draft. Anyone who follows it has seen great returns.
It has now simulated every game in the 2022-23 College Football Bowl schedule 10,000 times and assigned a confidence level to each game. You can only see all the college football bowl picks on SportsLine.
Top College Football Bowl Confidence Predictions
One of the model’s top picks for 2022-23 college football bowl confidence: Ole Miss goes past Texas Tech in the 2022 Texas Bowl on Dec. 28 at 9 p.m. ET. The Rebels stumbled in the final stretch, losing their last three regular-season games. However, Ole Miss will enter this game with one of the most effective rushing attacks in the country. In fact, the Rebels averaged 261.6 rushing yards per game, good for third in the country.
Meanwhile, Texas Tech is averaging 166.4 rushing yards per game this season, good for 90th in college football. Plus, the Red Raiders have allowed an average of 33 points per game over their past five games. The two teams also met in Houston in September 2019, with the Rebels winning 47-27. SportsLine’s model predicts Ole Miss will score 40 points against the Red Raiders, helping the Rebels win in more than 70 percent of simulations, making it the model’s third most confident pitching option.
The model’s other bowl confidence prediction is high: LSU’s No. 17 Citrus Bowl against Purdue on Jan. 2 at 1 p.m. ET. Both teams won their respective divisions but lost in the division title game, but the divisions themselves are not comparable. LSU won the SEC West and had six of seven teams in the top 16 sometime this year, while Purdue won the Big Ten West and had none of the seven teams in the top 16.
LSU got an early Christmas present when star receiver Kayshon Boutte announced he would not be leaving early for the NFL draft and would return next season. That makes him eligible for the Citrus Bowl, and Boutte’s talent is on par with some of the school’s past greats. Purdue ranks only ninth in the Big Ten in pass defense and has given up at least three passing touchdowns in five games this year. Thanks to Boutte’s presence and the dual-threat ability of LSU QB Jayden Daniels, the model gave the Tigers the upper hand in nearly 70 percent of simulations.
How to Make College Football Bowl Picks with Confidence
The model also determines who wins every other bowl game. There are 17 teams with at least a 65% win rate, so you’ll need to play a bigger role in these matchups while also dealing with multiple underdogs winning outright. You can get a great selection of all the models on SportsLine.
So who wins every college football bowl game? Which matchups should you assign the most confidence points to? Visit SportsLine to check out the full College Football Bowl Confidence picks, all from $100 players that have been priced up nearly $2,500 in top college football drafts over the past six-plus seasons, and find out.
2022-23 College Football Schedule (all times are EST)
Friday 16 December
Bahamas Cup: Miami (Ohio State) vs. UAB, 11:30 a.m.
Cure Bowl: No. 24 Troy vs. No. 25 UTSA, 3 p.m.
Saturday 17 December
Fenway Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Louisville, 11 a.m.
Celebration Bowl Jackson State vs. NC Central, noon
Las Vegas Bowl: Game 14 Oregon vs. Florida State, 2:30 p.m.
Los Angeles Bowl: Washington State vs. Fresno State, 3:30 p.m.
LendingTree Bowl: Rice vs. Southern Mississippi, 5:45 p.m. ET
New Mexico Bowl: SMU vs. BYU, 7:30 p.m.
Frisco Bowl: Boise State vs. North Texas, 9:15 p.m.
Monday 19 December
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Marshall vs UConn, 2:30 p.m.
Tuesday 20 December
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Eastern Michigan vs. San Jose State, 3:30 p.m.
Boca Raton Bowl: Liberty vs. Toledo, 7:30 p.m.
Wednesday 21 December
New Orleans Bowl: South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky, 9 p.m.
Thursday 22 December
Armed Forces Bowl: Baylor vs. Air Force, 7:30 p.m.
Friday 23 December
Independence Bowl: Houston vs. Louisiana, 3 p.m.
Gasparilla Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Missouri, 6:30 p.m.
Saturday 24 December
Hawaii Bowl: Middle Tennessee vs. San Diego State, 8 p.m.
Monday 26 December
Quick Lane Bowl: Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State, 2:30 p.m.
Tuesday 27 December
Camellia Bowl: Buffalo vs. Georgia Southern, Noon
First Responder Bowl: Memphis vs. Utah, 3:15 p.m.
Birmingham Bowl: Coastal Carolina vs. East Carolina, 6:45 p.m.
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Wisconsin, 10:15 p.m.
Wednesday 28 December
Military Bowl: Duke vs. UCF, 2 p.m.
Liberty Bowl: Arkansas vs. Kansas, 5:30 p.m.
Holiday Bowl: Oregon vs. North Carolina at Game 15, 8 p.m.
Texas Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss, 9 p.m.
Thursday 29 December
Pinstripe Bowl: Minnesota vs. Syracuse, 2 p.m.
Cheez-It Bowl, No. 13, Florida State vs. Oklahoma State, 5:30 p.m.
Alamo Bowl: No. 12 Washington vs. No. 20 Texas, 9 p.m.
Friday 30 December
Duke Mayo Cup: Game 23 North Carolina vs. Maryland, noon
Sun Bowl: UCLA Game 18 vs. Pitt, 2 p.m. ET
Gator Bowl: No. 19 South Carolina vs. No. 21 Notre Dame, 3:30 p.m.
Arizona Bowl: Ohio State vs. Wyoming, 4:30 p.m.
Orange Bowl: No. 6 Tennessee vs. No. 7 Clemson, 8 p.m.
Saturday 31 December
Music City Bowl: Iowa State vs. Kentucky, Noon
Sugar Bowl: No. 5 Alabama vs. No. 9 Kansas, noon
Fiesta Bowl (CFP Semifinals): No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 TCU, 4 p.m.
Peach Bowl (CFP Semifinals): No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Ohio State, 8 p.m.
Monday, January 2
ReliaQuest Bowl: Mississippi State vs. Illinois in Game 22, noon
Citrus Bowl: No. 17 LSU vs. Purdue, 1 p.m.
Cotton Bowl Classic: No. 10 USC vs. No. 16 Tulane, 1 p.m.
Rose Bowl: No. 8 Utah vs. No. 11 Penn State, 5 p.m.
Monday, January 9
College Football Playoff National Championship Game, 7:30 p.m. (Georgia-Ohio Winner vs. Michigan-TCU Winner)
